News18 Mega Opinion Poll Predicts Delhi May Stay Modi-Fied With All 7 Seats for NDA – News18

Published By: News Desk
Last Updated: March 14, 2024, 19:48 IST
New Delhi, India
BJP on Wednesday released its second list of 72 candidates for the upcoming Lok Sabha elections.(AP File)
The Bharatiya Janata Party-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) coalition is likely to win all seven seats in Delhi in the upcoming Lok Sabha elections, leaving none for the Congress-led Indian National Developmental Inclusive Alliance (INDIA), according to the News18 Mega Opinion Poll. The survey has predicted 58% vote share for the NDA, 39% for INDIA and 3% for others.
ALSO READ | News18 Opinion Poll Predicts Mega Modi Wave in Madhya Pradesh: 28 of 29 Seats for NDA, 1 for INDIA
CNN-News18’s survey from February 12 to March 1 covered 21 major states of India that account for 95% all Lok Sabha constituencies, making it one of the largest surveys in the country. It provides valuable insights into the political landscape of India, offering a detailed analysis of voter sentiment and preferences ahead of the upcoming general elections.
For Delhi’s 7 seats, a sample size of 1,470 responses was planned, of which 1,447 was achieved.
#MegaPollWithNews18 | #BJP to win all 7 seats in Delhi, according to #OpinionPollWhy is AAP unable to well in #LokSabhaElections?
BJP MPs have failed again and again in Delhi: @tehseenp, Analyst#LokSabhaElections2024 | @AnchorAnandN @RShivshankar @Zakka_Jacob
— News18 (@CNNnews18) March 13, 2024
In 2019, the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) had won all seven seats in Delhi. The party has already declared sitting MP Manoj Tiwari as its candidate (North East Delhi), but has dropped four other MPs in its first list, which includes five seats from Delhi. The four fresh faces considered are Ramvir Singh Bidhuri (South Delhi), Praveen Khandelwal (Chandni Chowk), Kamaljeet Sehrawat (West Delhi) and Bansuri Swaraj (New Delhi).
In Delhi, the ruling Aam Aadmi Party (AAP) and Congress are in an alliance. The AAP will contest four seats – New Delhi, South Delhi, West Delhi, and East Delhi – while the Congress will field candidates in Chandni Chowk, North East Delhi and North West Delhi constituencies.
21 states, 518 #LokSabha constituencies, 210 interviews…as News18 presents India's biggest & most comprehensive #OpinionPoll, here's a look at this mammoth survey's methodology Watch #LIVE | #MegaPollWithNews18 #LokSabhaElections2024 @Zakka_Jacob @AnchorAnandN @RShivshankar
— News18 (@CNNnews18) March 13, 2024
All Lok Sabha constituencies in the 21 states, a total of 518 Lok Sabha constituencies, were covered in the survey. In each of the Lok Sabha constituency, three Vidhan Sabha constituencies were selected. Five polling booths were selected in each Vidhan Sabha constituency, where 210 interviews were conducted among eligible voters (only one per household). Utilising a structured questionnaire translated into 11 regional languages, the survey employed personal face-to-face interviews conducted at homes selected via random sampling.
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Fieldwork for the survey was carried out by trained investigators from 10 different fieldwork agencies, with strict quality control measures in place. Before going into the field, the teams underwent detailed briefing sessions to ensure adherence to the sampling plan and questionnaire. Senior field managers and executives conducted on-the-spot quality checks, and each interview was geo-tagged to verify its authenticity.
A total sample size of 1,18,616 across 21 states was achieved.


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